Growth Strategy and Business Model — Maksim Shelukhanov

P&L and strategy

Growth Strategy and Business Model

Growth strategy is a system of connected choices: which customer and need the company serves, where it competes, how its business model earns money and which alternatives it deliberately rejects. A strong strategy turns uncertainty into a limited set of scenarios, tests their economics and builds a portfolio the organisation can execute.

Author: Maksim Shelukhanov · Published and updated: 25 August 2026

What Is Growth Strategy

Strategy defines the mechanism of future results, not merely a target number and project list.

Diagnosing the starting position

First establish current economics, customer segments, strengths, constraints and environmental changes. Separate temporary deviation from structural problems. The diagnosis identifies the few causes explaining most of the gap between current and desired results.

A system of choices

Strategy answers where to play, what value to create, how to win, which capabilities to possess and how to manage the model. Choice requires trade-offs: resources cannot give equal priority to every segment, channel, product and geography.

Testable logic

Every growth direction has a demand hypothesis, monetisation mechanism, required capabilities, risks and leading indicators. Strategy remains dynamic: assumptions are tested, facts updated and the portfolio adjusted without losing direction.

Where to Find a Growth Arena

A growth arena lies at the intersection of customer need, the company’s right to win and attractive economics.

Existing customers

Growth may come from solving more of the need, expanding categories, increasing frequency or retention, or improving service. The advantage is a known customer and existing trust; the risk is cannibalisation or subsidising behaviour that would happen anyway.

New segments

An adjacent segment may share a need but require a different proposition, channel and economics. Market size alone is insufficient: test customer access, willingness to pay, competitive density and the ability to adapt without damaging the core model.

New products and services

An additional offer strengthens the relationship when it uses an existing asset: brand, data, network, expertise, range or operating infrastructure. Synergy must be measurable; otherwise the company creates a second business with hidden investment and unclear ownership.

Channels and geography

E-commerce, partners, marketplaces, new store formats and regions expand access but alter margin, inventory, service and channel conflict. Assess total customer and channel economics, not incremental revenue alone.

How to Choose a Business Model

A business model explains how the company creates, delivers and retains value and converts it into cash flow.

Value proposition

Define the customer, need, alternatives and reason to choose. The proposition must be specific and supported by behaviour, not intention research alone. Price, range, service and experience form one promise the business can deliver consistently.

Revenue and margin mechanism

Define the unit of sale, frequency, ticket, gross margin, repeat use, acquisition cost and service cost. Subscription, commission, retail and service revenue differ in risk and payback timing. A blended model needs transparent impact allocation.

Capability system

Strategy sets requirements for product, people, data, operations, technology, partners and capital. Assess capability gaps before launch. If a critical capability cannot be ready in time, change the scenario, pilot at smaller scale or defer it.

Economics of Strategic Choice

Financial modelling compares alternatives and exposes assumptions, but does not replace market validation.

Scenarios

Base, target and stress scenarios show a range rather than one promised number. Each records volume, price, margin, investment, capacity, scaling speed and sensitivity to key assumptions, showing when a choice ceases to be attractive.

Unit economics and cash flow

Assess growth per customer, order, location or product and at total cash-flow level. Positive unit economics do not ensure sustainability when scaling is costly; negative early-pilot economics are acceptable only with a proven improvement mechanism.

Optionality and risk

Some investment buys knowledge rather than immediate results. A small reversible test is more valuable than a large irreversible decision when it resolves a critical assumption. The portfolio balances quick impact, foundational change and limited options on future growth.

Initiative Portfolio and Priorities

Strategy becomes manageable when initiatives compete for resources under one logic.

Connection to the choice

Each initiative must support a specific strategic thesis and metric. If that link cannot be explained, it is a local improvement or essential support rather than growth. This distinction enables honest resource allocation.

Impact assessment

Record the baseline, mechanism, outcome range, confidence and time to validation. Add customer, operating and organisational impact when these are leading conditions. Eliminate double counting between initiatives through the value tree.

Dependencies

Data, platforms, teams or process changes may support several directions. Foundational capabilities are separated but delivered in stages with early practical outcomes, preventing strategy from becoming years of infrastructure preparation without value.

Stopping rules

Define in advance the evidence that will trigger scaling, revision or termination. Stopping a weak initiative releases resources and is normal portfolio management; without this, sunk costs keep projects alive.

How to Move from Strategy to Execution

The first 90 days test the organisation’s ability to act within the chosen logic.

Translate choices into objectives

Turn strategic theses into a limited set of outcomes and leading KPIs. The team understands both the number and its mechanism. Align functional goals with the overall outcome so local optimisation does not damage the chosen model.

Assign owners

Each change stream has one person accountable for the outcome, a cross-functional team and authority to escalate conflicts. The sponsor provides resources and removes organisational constraints. A committee cannot replace personal accountability.

Build a 90-day plan

Include quick decisions, tests of critical assumptions, required capabilities and checkpoints. Do not attempt to detail the entire horizon; refine the next quarter using new evidence and changes in the environment.

Establish a cadence

Regular reviews compare actual results with the hypothesis, examine causes and end with a resource decision. Review the portfolio, key risks and strategic assumptions separately. Task status matters only insofar as it explains results.

Change the management model

A new strategy often requires different roles, processes, KPIs and functional interaction. The transition is covered separately under business transformation and change management. Without an organisational framework, even a strong choice remains a presentation.

Mistakes and limitations

Vague language, a list of every opportunity, one optimistic scenario and no trade-offs weaken strategy. Market forecasts cannot replace choices, nor can current projects replace a portfolio. Another mistake is modelling only desired revenue without testing customers, margin, capacity and cash flow.

Strategy does not replace regular management of the current business. The actual revenue, margin and driver framework is covered under B2C management through P&L. It provides the starting position and outcome control but does not choose the future growth arena.

Growth strategy or a strategy session

This page describes the expert approach: questions, models and criteria for strategic choices. It helps an owner or executive understand the task and test the quality of their growth logic.

Strategy session is a separate team engagement used to align participants, make decisions and record next steps. The format depends on the task, available evidence and team readiness.

Practical Cases

Each metric belongs to one specific company and cannot be transferred to another context.

ORTEKA

A unified portfolio of commercial, product, CRM and omnichannel initiatives delivered RUB 165 million. This is the impact of the entire change portfolio, not one mechanism or tool.

ORTEKA case study →

Technosila

E-commerce reached RUB 7.9 billion. Growth relied on category choices, a stockless model, CRM, the platform and omnichannel journeys.

Technosila case study →

Kolesa Darom

12 new centres reached operating profit. Network development connected geoanalytics, location format, availability, services and the operating model.

Kolesa Darom case study →

Questions about Growth Strategy

Brief answers about time horizon, data and execution readiness.

What time horizon is needed?

Long enough to change the business model and capabilities without creating false precision. A long-term choice is usually supported by a concrete portfolio and a plan for the first 90 days.

How much data is enough?

Enough to distinguish scenarios and test critical assumptions. A missing fact becomes a research task or pilot, rather than endless analytics preparation.

When will a strategy fail?

When leadership avoids trade-offs, initiatives have no owners, current KPIs conflict with the choice, or the organisation does not stop initiatives that fail to prove their mechanism.

Discuss a Growth Challenge

Describe the starting position, proposed growth arena, key constraint and decision to be made. In the first meeting, we will identify the evidence and scenarios needed for the next step.

Discuss a growth challenge →

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